Two more pollsters released the results of their respective electability survey at the same time on Tuesday (Jan. 2). The two pollsters are the Indonesia Political Expert (IPE) and the Ide Cipta Research and Consulting (ICRC). Coincidentally, it appears that both pollsters are favoring Ganjar Pranowo and his running mate, Mahfud MD. Let’s talk a bit about these two pollsters.

Recently, the Chief of the National Police (Kapolri) General Listyo Sigit Prabowo instituted another round of job rotation. In this rotation, General Sigit appointed one more classmate of him at the Police Academy’s (Akpol) 1991 as a new provincial police chief.

A new survey from the so-called Forum Alumni Perguruan Tinggi Indonesia (FAPTI) that works together with Alvara Research Center found Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD at the second position. FAPTI-Alvara, moreover, predicts that Ganjar-Mahfud will challenge Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka in the election runoff. Let’s talk a bit about this survey.

In the first instalment of the article, we’ve talked about the ruling party PDIP. Other than PDIP, three other major political parties (Golkar, PKB, and Nasdem) will also hold their chairmanship congress next year after the 2024 simultaneous presidential and legislative elections. Let’s now talk about PKB.

Among five largest political parties in Indonesia, four of them will each hold its chairmanship congress next year after the 2024 simultaneous presidential and legislative elections. If anything, the outcomes of the 2024 elections might have some implications for the next year’s chairmanship congress of these four major political parties.

Another survey from the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) found Prabowo-Gibran leading the poll, but the pair’s electability was still below 50 percent. CSIS also found that Anies Baswedan took over the second position from Ganjar Pranowo with almost five percent margin separating them. Let’s talk a bit about this survey.

Prabowo Subianto visited Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam (NAD), the western province of Indonesia, along with the sixth President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and his eldest son Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY). During this visit, Prabowo received the endorsement from Muzakir “Mualem” Manaf, the chairman of Aceh Party, the largest political party in Aceh province.

A new survey from Indikator Politik Indonesia shows that Prabowo Subianto and his running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka are still leading the 2024 presidential election with a big margin. Indikator, however, also found that Prabowo-Gibran’s electability has yet to reach 50 percent+1.