The New Opposition in the Making?
Three political parties that were supporting Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar in the 2024 presidential election are ready to join forces with the ruling party PDIP, the leader of a coalition of political parties that were endorsing Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD, in pushing the House of Representatives (DPR) to use its right of inquiry (Hak Angket) for investigating election fraud allegations. Will these parties join forces and become the new opposition? Will it really happen?
Ticket Splitting: Prabowo & Gerindra
The real count conducted by the General Election Commission (KPU) as per this morning (Feb. 23) with 62.09 percent of data collected shows Gerindra, a political party led by Prabowo Subianto, at the third position with 13.42 percent of votes, far below the votes that Prabowo secured in the 2024 presidential election. One wonders why the split ticket between Prabowo and Gerindra is so big.
PKB’s Future
The future of PKB, the largest Islamic party in Indonesia, is undoubtedly one of the hottest topics being discussed in relation to political consolidation after 2024 elections. The current administration of President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and the next administration of Prabowo-Gibran will likely want to keep PKB in the ruling coalition regardless of what happened during the election. On the other hand, there are those who expect PKB to join forces with PDIP to become the new opposition instead.
Prabowo-Jokowi Dynamics
Sufmi Dasco, vice chairman of Prabowo Subianto’s Gerindra Party, said on Tuesday (Feb 21) that ‘power sharing’ within Prabowo-Gibran’s coalition has been agreed. Sufmi, one of trusted aides of Prabowo, unfortunately, provided no further detail about who’s getting what, including whether Gibran Rakabuming, son of outgoing president Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo, will get substantial role in the administration.
Post-Election Dispute & Conflict of Interest Issue
The real count conducted by the General Election Commission (KPU) as per this morning with 74.39 percent data collected is still pointing to Prabowo-Gibran’s lead with 58.88 percent, pretty much similar to the quick count from various pollsters. Once the KPU completes its real count and announces the official result of 2024 presidential election, it is likely that the two losing candidates, Ganjar-Mahfud and Anies-Muhaimin, will challenge the result by filing a post-election lawsuit at the Constitutional Court (MK). Let’s talk a bit about this upcoming legal battle.
The Losing Candidates’ Maneuver: Political Battle at DPR?
The real count conducted by the General Election Commission (KPU) as per this morning (Feb. 21) with 73.33 percent data collected is pointing to Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s lead with 58.55 percent, pretty much similar to quick count from various pollsters. Meanwhile, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD only got 24.15 percent and 16.91 percent, respectively. Ganjar, a losing presidential candidate based on the quick count and real count, has not conceded yet and he even came up with the idea of pushing the House of Representatives (DPR) to use its right of inquiry (locally called as Hak Angket). Anies, another losing presidential candidate, couldn’t agree more with Ganjar’s idea. The question is whether their respective coalition of political parties will remain united at the DPR to push for the motion of using inquiry rights. Can they win a political battle at the DPR to pass the motion?
Cabinet Reshuffle
President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo is scheduled to take the oath of two new ministers this morning (Feb. 21). The two new ministers who will be sworn in by the President are Air Chief Marshal (ret) Hadi Tjahjanto and Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY).
PDIP Remains Less Proactive
It seems like the ruling party PDIP is not learning from their defeat in the 2024 presidential election. The Party has not been proactive in approaching the other political parties to join their cause of becoming the opposition to the next administration of Prabowo Subianto and Gibran Rakabuming Raka, who is the eldest son of President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo.
Jokowi-Paloh Meeting: Forget about strengthening opposition?
President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo held a dinner meeting with media mogul Surya Paloh, who is the chairman of Nasdem Party, at the State Palace Jakarta last night (Feb. 18). The meeting is worth highlighting in relation to Nasdem’s position after 2024 election in Jokowi’s administration and the next administration of Prabowo-Gibran.
Megawati’s Upcoming Meeting with Paloh
The ruling party PDIP gave a positive response to a potential meeting between its matriarch, Megawati Soekarnoputri, and media mogul Surya Paloh, who is the chairman of Nasdem Party. Earlier, Nasdem revealed a plan of a meeting between Paloh and Megawati soon in the near future. The meeting, if it happens, is worth monitoring in relation to a question on the position of both parties after 2024 election and toward the next administration.