Spectrum choices will decide telecom future

Indonesia’s long-awaited allocation of the 700 MHz and 26 GHz spectrum bands is not merely a technical exercise. The government’s choice between a price auction, a beauty contest or a hybrid model will ultimately determine the structure of the country’s telecom industry for the next decade. It will shape whether Indonesia maintains a competitive multi-operator market or slides toward deeper concentration under a few dominant players.

Prabowo’s farmland decree and the coming policy collision

President Prabowo Subianto’s decision to expand protected rice fields across almost the entire country may sound like a long-overdue correction to Indonesia’s shrinking agricultural base. But behind the promise of food security lies a looming collision of state priorities that the government has yet to reconcile.

Back to where we belong

When one businessman close to the President billed finance ministry Rp7 trillion last year for the works done by his company in 2024, some wonder whether it was properly audited. The businessman was directly appointed to develop infrastructure for the food estate project in Merauke, South Papua province. Without competitive and transparent tender process, the Rp7 trillion bill could become a future target of corruption investigation.

REEs

The government has recently identified eight mining blocks with significant rare earth elements (REE) potential while planning to launch two research projects to develop processing technology.

Correction in consumer financing

Consumer financing companies expect recovery this year with 4.5% growth of retail sales of cars last month. Last year was tough. Mandiri Tunas Finance (MTF), subsidiary of state bank Mandiri (BMRI), suffered 66% fall in net profit, contributing to relatively flat performance of its parent.

Budget deficit & off-budget mechanisms

Do not criticize, or even analyze policies of, Indonesian government if you’re not PhD in economics. That’s basically what Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa, minister of finance, told public late last week regarding a report from Citigroup economist Helmi Arman about the State budget deficit in 2026. 

Prabowo’s Co-op: Imported trucks

The Financial Services Authority (OJK) claimed that the financial system had provided Rp148.6 trillion of financing to President Prabowo’s Red-and-White Village Cooperative (KDMP) program last year. Details are not available, but since fourth quarter of 2025, PT Agrinas, a state-owned company tasked to build KDMP’s operational facilities (building, office, warehouse, etc), did start construction works in some areas.

Prabowo’s Co-op: Land and cost issues

Village administration all over the country found very hard to provide 1,000 sqm of land for the Red-and-White Village Cooperative (KDMP). That’s probably why Prabowo administration would seize the so-called ‘dormant/unused land’.

Dividend ratio of state banks

Two state banks, Bank Mandiri (BMRI) and Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI), have released their full year 2025 financials. Mandiri reported a tiny 0.9% growth in net profit to Rp56.3 trillion last year, slightly below private-owned bank BCA, which has substantially smaller total assets. 

Prasasti: Blurred lines between research and lobbying

Like many think tanks, Prasasti presents itself as an independent institution committed to data-driven analysis and objective policy recommendations. In practice, however, it also acts as a bridge between corporations and the government–a role that, by design, places Prasasti in a grey zone, where policy facilitation could easily turn into lobbying. This blurs the boundary between public-interest research and private-interest advocacy.

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