Metal Stocks: Further Production Cuts
Shares of mining giants surged worldwide Tuesday as more companies planned production cut this year. Freeport McMoRan, for example, jumped 6.6% in New York despite US$12.2 billion of net loss booked last year, while Anglo American soared 11.8% earlier in London.
Volatility of Commodities
WTI crude oil jumped 9.21% to close at US$32.3 per barrel on Nymex Friday (Jan 22), while Brent crude soared almost 10% to US$32.2/barrel. Other commodities followed suit with aluminium futures advanced 4% on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, while nickel gained US$200 per ton to close at US$8725 in the London Metal Exchange.
Palm Oil Journal
Crude palm oil (CPO) is expected to open higher in both futures and physical market today to tracking crude oil, which jumped 4% closer to US$30 per barrel in New York yesterday, and soybean oil futures, which advanced on the Chicago Board of Trade. CPO has lost more than 2% in the past few trading days, dragging the benchmark April 2016 contracts closer to RM2400 per ton.
Nickel: Bottoming Out?
Some nickel producers have actually cut output since last year. Nickel prices, however, fell closer to US$8,000 ton before regaining ground to close at US$8680 this week. Longer weak price of the metal might force more producer to cut output. Some expect this would cut nickel stocks level going forward, but others believe this is not enough.
Further Consolidation of Coal Industry (4)
Coal producers worldwide might continue to cut their output amidst falling price of crude oil, which dropped to below US$27 per barrel Wednesday (Jan 20). Yancoal Australia Limited, subsidiary of Chinese company Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd, produced only 4.4 million tons of coal in the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2015, dropped 14% from the corresponding period of 2014.
Reading BHP and Rio Tinto Data
BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto declined by 3% and 1.4% respectively in Sydney this morning as investors are still not convinced about trajectory of metals and energy market. Production report from BHP and Rio Tinto suggested continued war between mining giants in iron ore market, making if difficult to recover.
Crude oil Towards US$20, Palm Oil?
Shares of plantation companies listed in Southeast Asia markets were mostly in red zone this morning on broad market sentiment against commodities, especially because WTI crude oil declined further to below US$28 per barrel. Unlike crude oil, however, crude palm oil (CPO) is still way above the lowest quoted price last August.
Further Consolidation of Coal Industry (3)
Coal stocks recovered slightly in the region this morning as stays below US$30 per barrel. China Shenhua and China Coal Energy gained in Hong Kong, while Whitehaven Coal fell 5% in Sydney. Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton regained grounds in Sydney, but with limited gains.
Growing Import of Natural Gas & Pending Major Projects
Indonesia booked oil and gas trade deficit of US$6.06 billion last year, dropped 55% from 2014 because of falling prices of crude oil and natural gas. Interestingly, however, that import volume of natural gas grew 16.35% to 4.18 million tons. Import volume of crude oil also jumped 27.22% to 18.73 million tons last year.
How About Paying Zero for 100% of Freeport…
Shares of Freeport McMoRan (FCX) surged by 12.3% to US$4.2 Thursday (Jan 14) following news about offering of its 10.64% shares in PT Freeport Indonesia for US$1.7 billion to Indonesian government. This has lifted market value of FCX to US$5 billion. Should the government spend US$1.7 billion to acquire 34% shares of FCX instead? How about paying zero to get 100% shares like the acquisition of Mahakam Offshore Block?