Market Response to Brexit
Brent crude oil responded negatively UK’s decision to leave European Union with 3.83% fall to US$49 per barrel Friday (June 24), while WTI light sweet crude fell to US$48.2 per barrel. Metals, however, were mixed with gold gaining 4.3% to US$1315 per ounce, while aluminium down 0.53%.
Revisiting Tunas Baru Lampung
Plantation firm Tunas Baru Lampung (TBLA) has just released its audited financial statement for the period ended March 31, 2016, where the Company booked net profit of Rp65 billion, down 21.5% from the same period of 2015 due to falling sales revenue and squeezed margins. The Company is currently preparing the issuance of third bonds to refinance its existing debentures.
CPO Outlook: From El Nino to La Nina
The benchmark September 2016 contracts of crude palm oil fell RM28 to RM2372 per ton on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Wednesday (June 22) as market participants anticipated higher palm oil production in the second half. How further down the commodity depends on lots of factors, including movement of crude oil, weather pattern, and output of the competing vegetable oils.
M&A: South Natuna Sea Block B
Acquisition of ConocoPhillips and Chevron’s interest in the South Natuna Sea Block B oil and gas block has reportedly entered final stage. Three companies are competing for ConocoPhillips’ 40 percent operating interest in the block.
BHP’s Outlook for Coal
BHP Billiton, one of the largest coal producers, has decided to sell its metallurgical coal assets in Indonesia to local partner Adaro Energy (ADRO) following a strategic review. The divestment, however, doesn’t change BHP Billiton’s outlook of coal for both thermal and metallurgical coal.
Q&A with Gozco Plantations
Crude palm oil (CPO) retreated significantly from its recent high in the past few weeks as market participants anticipate higher output in the second half. Investors also responded corrections in crude oil and competing soybean oil. Late last week, we had a chance to discuss market issues and specific company issues with Andrew Michael Vincent, director of Gozco Plantations (GZCO), one companies listed on IDX.
Coal Yet to See The Light
Recent correction of crude oil by around 10% delays potential recovery of thermal coal despite continuous efforts from US and China to cut their production. Production cuts, supply disruptions, and increased demand were deemed supporting factors for the return of all major benchmark thermal coal prices to above US$50 per ton last week.
New Nickel Smelters to Watch
Nickel has just returned to above US$9000 per ton in London Metal Exchange (LME), leaving its bottom by around 22%. This price, however, is still too low to make any profit given recent rise of fuel costs. Operation of new nickel smelters, mostly nickel pig iron (NPI), in Indonesia might cap further rally in the commodity though.
Palm Oil Journal
The benchmark August 2016 contracts of crude palm oil (CPO) dropped significantly by RM55 to RM2525 per ton on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Monday (June 13) as investors responded the retreat of crude oil from its recent high and anticipated higher fresh fruit bunch (FFBs) in the second half of the year.
Revisiting Bumi Resources Minerals, Strange Payables, & DMS Investama
PT Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS) Tbk, controlled by Bakrie Group, has just released its full year 2015 results this week. The Company, whose valuable asset is interest in gold and copper producer PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara, posted net loss of US$43 million, down from US$89.3 million in 2014, thanks to share of profit in Newmont.