Vendor Lock-In, Data Security, and the Quiet Geopolitics of Indonesia’s Digital State

When TOTM Technologies Limited announced that its Indonesian subsidiary, PT International Biometrics Indonesia, had once again secured the Annual Technical Support (ATS) contract for Indonesia’s National ID system in 2026, the news was framed as a story of continuity and trust. Yet behind the familiar language of operational stability lies a deeper issue Indonesia has yet to confront seriously: vendor lock-in in its most sensitive national digital infrastructure.

Irrationality continues: From Prajogo to Bakrie

Shares of companies controlled by Bakrie Group surged last Friday (Jan 2) to continue their rallies since late last year. Electric bus seller VKTR even soared 17.2% to make itself the most expensive stock in the market, traded with PE multiple almost 25,000. 

Bank Jakarta IPO in the shadows of Bank Jabar & Jatim

Bank Jakarta (previously Bank DKI), controlled by Jakarta provincial government, is scheduled for an initial public offering (IPO) this year. Details of the IPO yet to be revealed, but investors might be looking into performance of peers: Bank Jabar (BJBR), owned by regional governments in West Java, and Bank Jatim (BJTM), owned by regional administrations in East Java. 

Reading future HR quality from TKA

Results from Indonesia’s first nationwide academic ability test, the 2025 Tes Kemampuan Akademik (TKA), reveal troublingly low average scores in compulsory subjects, particularly Mathematics and English. The findings raised concerns about weak literacy and numeracy skills at the national level. If left unchecked, this issue could have lasting consequences for the quality and competitiveness of the country’s future workforce.

Jawa Barat’s Palm Oil Ban

Dedi Mulyadi’s decision to ban new palm oil planting across West Java has been celebrated as an environmental breakthrough. It is bold, politically risky, and symbolically powerful: a governor choosing ecological survival over the seductive promise of quick plantation revenue. Yet beneath the applause lies a more uncomfortable truth — West Java is not starting from zero. There are already palm oil estates, contractual relationships, and business ecosystems that predate this ban. And that means the policy is not just about “saving the environment,” but also about navigating legal, economic, and social consequences.

2026 Outlook (8): KDMP

As Indonesia moves toward 2026, Red and White Village Cooperatives (KDMP) face growing scrutiny over their sustainability. While the government claimed that more than 80,000 cooperatives have already secured formal legal status as part of national efforts to strengthen rural economic independence, many of them remain inactive due to limited capital and lack of viable business models. The question is: Can they overcome these constraints in 2026?

Governance reform or power consolidation?

Indonesia’s latest move to “nationalise” or reclaim so-called illegal palm oil plantations has reignited one of the most sensitive debates in the nation’s natural-resource governance: where is the line between genuine law enforcement and political-economic consolidation? At face value, the government’s decision to take over millions of hectares of plantations that allegedly lack proper permits or encroach on protected forests sounds like a long-overdue correction to decades of regulatory neglect. Yet the deeper one looks, the more complex—and politically charged—the picture becomes.

The 100 Bailey Bridges

President Prabowo Subianto’s decision to procure 100 Bailey bridges from abroad for disaster-stricken regions in Sumatra has been presented as a symbol of decisive leadership. The message is clear: people need roads, logistics must move, and emergency infrastructure must be deployed fast. On the surface, it sounds like a rational emergency response — practical, immediate, and solution-oriented.

2026 Outlook (7): Household spending

Household spending remains the single largest component of Indonesian GDP. Their overall spending might grow modestly alongside higher minimum wage, while aggressive expansion of free meal program might suppress purchasing power of households.

2026 Outlook (6): Stock market

Today is the last trading day for 2025. The composite index of Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG) gained 21% year-to-date to become one of the best performing stock market indexes, thanks to trading manipulation and irrational behaviour of investors. 

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