Bank Panin Consistently Undervalued
We feel sorry for ANZ Bank, co-owner of Bank Panin (PNBN), one of the largest banks in Indonesia with total assets of Rp222 trillion. The bank, majority controlled by the family of Mu’min Ali Gunawan, is now worth around half of its equity only, nothing compared to other major banks in the country.
Link Net Turns Into Loss
Shares of fixed broadband operator Link Net (LINK), subsidiary of XL Axiata (EXCL), gained 1.9% to Rp1.070 on Thursday (February 22), to make market capitalization of Rp3.06 trillion. The stock, however, has fallen 19% so far this year, as investors were not happy with LINK’s earnings development.
Mixed Results from Astra Agro & Otoparts
Astra Agro Lestari (AALI), subsidiary of Astra International (ASII) engaged in plantation business, and Astra Otoparts (AUTO), ASII’s subsidiary involved in production of automotive components, came up with mixed results last year. AALI saw further decline in net profit because of falling prices of agriculture commodities, while AUTO enjoyed a rather strong profit whilst with almost zero growth in sales revenues.
Corporations to Watch
Indonesia’s coal production target this year is set at 710 million tons, way below the realized output last year (767 million tons). Sinarmas Group’s coal miner Golden Energy Mines (GEMS), however, targets to produce 50 million tons of coal this year, up substantially from 40 million tons targeted for 2023.
Squeezed margins of Banpu’s ITMG in 2023
Coal miner Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG), controlled by Banpu Pcl (Thailand), booked profit attributable to owners of US$500.3 million in 2023, declined 58.3% year on year (y/y), due to squeezed margins from substantial correction of coal prices.
On Corruption in PT Timah
The investigation into the case of alleged corruption related to the tin trading system carried out in the Mining Business License (IUP) area owned by PT Timah Tbk (TINS) initially started as an ordinary routine. We all know that the mining sector is prone to corruption. But as the investigation went on and the Attorney General’s Office (AGO) finally found sufficient evidence, we learned that the scheme was supposedly created by the former President Director of PT Timah, Mochtar Riza Pahlevi Tabrani. That said, this is not an ordinary cas. With Riza’s help, dozens of puppet companies were allowed to operate on PT Timah operational area including other areas with no permit or license. By this week the AGO had named 11 suspects in two different cases and recently announced that the case supposedly caused ecological losses amounted to over Rp270 trillion. How could this happen?
Private Placement of Harita Nickel
PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (NCKL), popular as Harita Nickel, has kicked off placement of up to 6.3 billion new shares to potential investor, proceeds of which will be used to finance expansion programs.
Transition of Power & The Economy
Minister of Finance Sri Mulyani Indrawati is said to start discussing and compiling the macroeconomic framework and fiscal policy principles as the basis for the 2025 state budget (APBN). This is part of the transition from the government of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) to the elected president who won the 2024 presidential election. As of today, Prabowo Subianto will likely be sworn in as the new president in October 2024.
Margins improved, Uni-Charm still undervalued
Uni-Charm (UCID), engaged in the sanitary napkin industry, which includes manufacturing of night wing, panty liners, and baby diapers, is now worth Rp3.87 trillion, way below equity (Rp5.56 trillion). The stock was last traded at Rp930, way below the initial public offering (IPO) price in December 2019 at Rp1,500.
Down, but still healthy results from Sido Muncul
Herbal medicine producer Industri Jamu and Pharmacy Sido Muncul (SIDO) is among the most valuable companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Traded with PE multiple 17.61 on historical 2023 results, Sido Muncul is now a company with Rp17.10 trillion of market capitalization, nearly six times equity.