Expecting more commodities windfall this year
Windfall from higher average price of commodities contributed to Indonesian economic recovery and significantly lower budget deficit last year. Some initially doubted this would be case this year, but data year-to-date suggested the country might continue to enjoy the windfall this year.
Coal Journal Feb 19
Indonesian government has set domestic market obligation (DMO) of coal for 2022 at 166 million tons out of projected output of 663 million tons. The coal DMO for 2025 will increase further to 208.54 million tons due to growing domestic capacity of coal-fired power plants built for general public and captive (mainly for metal smelting facilities).
Nickel Journal
Nickel ended at US$23,235 per ton in London Metal Exchange (LME) Friday, Feb 11. Impressive sales growth of electric vehicle and Indonesian government’s plan to implement export tax on nickel pig iron (NPI) this year will continue to support the commodity.
Nickel Export Tax Policy Progress
The Indonesian Government is reviewing export tax levies for several nickel products, i.e., nickel pig iron and ferronickel. The details of the arrangement have not been announced. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, the Coordinating Ministry of Maritime Affairs, the Ministry of Trade, the Ministry of Investment, and the Ministry of Finance are still ironing out the details, said Director General of Mineral and Coal, Ridwan Djamaludin this morning (Feb. 2)
DMO Policy on Palm
Malaysian palm oil futures fell to MYR5500 per ton but remained close to an all-time high of MYR 5700 per ton, boosted by mounting concerns over supply and following a rise in other vegetable oils and crude oil prices.
Steel Update
Shanghai steel futures broke the CNY 5000 per ton mark before getting back to the CNY 4800 per ton level, but remaining the highest since late October, amid limited supply, rising iron ore and nickel prices, and prospects of a boom in demand.
Coal Journal
Coal prices fell more than 5% to US$210 a ton to start February after Indonesia lifted a ban on coal exports, citing improving conditions of coal supply for local power plants.
Palm Journal
Palm oil increased to an all-time high of MYR5521 per ton on Friday last week (Jan. 28), on concerns oversupply and following a rise in other vegetable oils and crude oil prices.
Quintessentially Nickel: Southeast Sulawesi
Southeast Sulawesi recorded export revenues of US$3.87 billion last year, only 1.85% of national total but expanded significantly from US$2.4 billion (1.47%) in 2020. Given massive investment in nickel processing industry, including stainless steel, export revenues from the province would continue to grow in the coming years.
Quintessentially Nickel: Central Sulawesi
Central Sulawesi is a fast growing export base for Indonesia, thanks to massive investments in nickel processing industry, including stainless steel. Last year, the province generated US$10.9 billion of export revenues, jumped from US$7.5 billion in 2020. Nickel pig iron (NPI) and stainless steel dominated the export, but more higher value nickel products will enter the world market this year.Â