Mapping Jokowi’s 2019: North Sumatera

North Sumatera is the most populous province in the island of Sumatera. Around 9.2 million voters live there. This is the reason why the Province is one of the most important battlegrounds for the 2019 presidential race. Interestingly, Indobarometer’s most recent survey found President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo dominating North Sumatera.

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The 2019 Race: PDIP’s Alliance with Golkar

The ruling party PDIP had a meeting with Golkar at the latter’s headquarters yesterday (March 20). The two parties discussed, among others, the strategy for President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo’s reelection. This development is a good sign for those keen on seeing PDIP joining hands with Golkar. But will this partnership last?

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New DPR/MPR Leadership & Attempt at Amending the 1945 Constitution

Today, March 20, the House of Representatives (DPR) is to inaugurate Utut Adianto as the new deputy speaker of the DPR from the ruling party PDIP. The inauguration follows the passage of the Legislative Institution Law (MD3) into new Law No. 2/2018, in which PDIP’s request for a seat in the DPR leadership is accommodated. Tomorrow, the People’s Consultative Assembly (MPR) will inaugurate the new MPR deputy speakers from PDIP, Gerindra, PKB, the Regional Representatives Council (DPD)—and perhaps another other one from Golkar. This new composition of the DPR/MPR leadership is worth highlighting, especially in relation to the latest attempt at amending the 1945 Constitution.

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How PDIP Has Changed

Every political party is known for something. PDIP in particular is known for being stiff. This is largely due to the fact that decision making in PDIP is ultimately in the hands of its Chairwoman Megawati Soekarnoputri. Like it or not, PDIP has to go with Mega’s preference. This is what it is, and for that PDIP earned the label. That being said, PDIP’s maneuvers in recent time paint a picture of a different PDIP.

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PDIP’s Experiment

The ruling party PDIP have floated the idea of nominating the former governor of Jakarta Djarot Saiful Hidayat and the popular Mayor of Surabaya Tri Rismaharini as governor candidates for North Sumatera and East Kalimantan respectively. One might see this as a joke, but the people confirming the news, given their status, indicate that this news is rather serious.

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PDIP’s Upcoming Rakernas & Jokowi’s Re-Election Bid

The ruling party PDIP is scheduled to hold its three-day National Working Meeting (Rakernas) on January 10-12, 2018. President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo’s 2019 re-election bid will be discussed in the said event. Will the Party make official their endorsement of Jokowi? Will they mention their preferred running mate candidates for Jokowi’s re-election bid?

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2018 Gubernatorial Elections: Central Region

Apart from the province of East Kalimantan, two other provinces—West Kalimantan and Bali—in the central region of the country will simultaneously hold their gubernatorial election next year. The incumbents in West Kalimantan and Bali respectively have served for two periods, and so, they cannot seek for a third term. Next year’s gubernatorial election in these two provinces will thus be an open battlefield. Let’s start with the development in West Kalimantan.

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Landak’s 2017 Election & West Kalimantan’s 2018 Election

The General Election Commission (KPU) revealed that eight regions will likely participate in next year’s simultaneous regional elections with only one pair of regional head candidate. One of said regions is the Landak regency of West Kalimantan, which is home to palm oil giants like Sinarmas, Cargill, and more. Landak’s election will be interesting to follow in light of the 2018 gubernatorial race in West Kalimantan.

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Banten’s 2017 Election: Rano Karno-Haerul Jaman?

Over the weekend, President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo visited three regions in the Banten province, including the City of Serang. There the President celebrated the Muslim Day of Sacrifice. This presidential weekend trip is interesting given the regional election dynamics in Banten. The Mayor of Serang Tubagus Haerul Jaman has been mentioned as one of the running mate candidates for PDIP’s governor candidate, the incumbent Governor of Banten Rano Karno. Both men were seen accompanying the President. Is this a sign that Rano Karno will eventually pair up with Tubagus Haerul Jaman?

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